Tuesday, October 28, 2008

An Ocean of Opportunities - Sainik

The last time I "retreated" the Nifty was skirting at 4400. I was very uncomfortable with what i saw: unbridled optimism. I called it then, "the slope of hope". Many people did not like my opinion, but anyway i decided to "walk the talk" and sold all my long positions and went short within my limitations. Now, again I am uncomfortable, but for entirely different reasons :this time, I see unfounded pessimism and hopelessness.

I call it the "Wall of Fear". The wall seems so humungous and everyone seems to be running scared. I remember the visual interpretation of Alexander Elder in his book Trading For a Living, wherein he likens the market movements to two rival gangs of Bulls and Bears, engaged in fighting over territory. The stronger of the gangs keep pushing the relatively weaker gang back in to their territory. When they are dangerously deep into their rival's territory, the so-called "weak gang" gets its act together and fights ferociously with their backs to the wall and push the original stronger rivals back. The "hunter" becomes the "hunted". I think that such a situation has arrived. It is time for the "hunted" to turn "hunter". If ever there was a time for a short-term trader to sell all his heirlooms (including his Mother-in-law's jewels) , this is the Time to Do It.

No point in quoting, Warren Buffet or other prophets who say: Buy when there is blood on the streets. When there is blood on the streets - not just a small drop, nay a stream of blood, nor a river; right now there is an ocean of blood out there. There is an ocean of opportunities out there begging to be bought.

I have done my duty: I am long in the market like never before. This is all a humble soldier can do. What will you do?

Happy Diwali.

Sunday, October 26, 2008

Nifty Update for October 27 - Inder Bhatia

Sell CANBK below 154 TGT 146>141 Stoploss 159.

Sell HDFC below 1553 TGT 1501>1424 Stoploss 1587.


Last week Nifty lost 15.95 percent as global uncertainty and selling from FII saw the Nifty close in the deep red zone. Nifty had registered the highest ever weekly fall in history. For the coming session, Nifty broke all major support on Friday. We can find next support for Nifty near 2536. If we break 2539, it will drift near 2289 on the other side, 2780 would act as resistance zone. If Nifty is able to cross 2782 and close above, we could test 2923-3053 zone.

Happy Diwali.

KM

RECENT COMMENTS

Blog Archive